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Hung Parliament: how the next 10 days could pan out

Political analysis, Westminster
"The day after the General Election can be very intense for public affairs practitioners". Well I said it, so here's what I can do to help. This is what we know about how the next 10 days will pan out with further information on the coming months. Friday 9 June: negotiations to form a government. “Caretaker principle” gives Theresa May the opportunity to try and form a government first. That may be as a minority with help from other parties as needed known as a “supply and confidence” arrangement, or a formal coalition, most likely with the DUP. Corbyn can simultaneously also negotiate with parties to see if he can form a government. The threshold both parties will need to meet is 326 to stand a chance of winning a vote…
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Brexit, the General Election, and Parliamentary Process [update].

All entries, Political analysis, Strategic thinking, Westminster
In March I published a guide to how the official Brexit process will mesh with the work Government and Parliament must do to ensure that EU law has been replaced or incorporated by March 2019. I've now updated the update I provided in April, when the General Election was announced, to take into account recent announcements and commentary from relevant parties. The documents aim to bring together everything we know or can assume about the timetable, including estimates of when the Great Repeal Bill will go through its various stages in Parliament, when consultations will take place, and when secondary legislation will be laid before Parliament. This is important to know - if organisations do not know what to expect, they may miss an opportunity to scrutinise and respond to, or simply plan…
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How quickly must you act once the General Election result is announced?

Political analysis, Westminster
The day after the General Election can be very intense for public affairs practitioners. Both professional pride and the demands of our organisations or clients, require us to interpret the significance of the results, what the impact will be, and what they need to do to respond effectively. But sometimes when we rush to make a judgement we can miss something – a factor which, when considered fully, could add depth and sophistication to our analysis, particularly with the benefit of a little more sleep. I therefore thought it might be helpful to set out how long you really have. What exactly is the window between the result being announced, and the new government and/or parliament being ready to engage with you on matters of domestic significance (see end of…
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Brexit, the General Election and the Parliamentary Process

Political analysis, Westminster
A few weeks ago I published a guide to how the official Brexit process will mesh with the work Government and Parliament must do to ensure that EU law has been replaced or incorporated by March 2019. I've now updated it to take into account the General Election and the impact that will have (the timing is pretty good in terms of the negotiations but it will further limit time available to scrutinise key legislation such as the Great Reform Bill). There are a few new dates for your diary: Queen's Speech likely w/c 19 June Select Committee Chairs, including for the Committee for Exiting the European Union, likely to be elected w/c 16 July If we're lucky Select Committee members will be appointed before the Commons rises for the…
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The timetable for Brexit and the Parliamentary Process

Political analysis, Westminster
Building on last week's articles I wanted to provide some clarity as to how the official Brexit process will mesh with the work Government and Parliament must do to ensure that EU law has been replaced or incorporated by March 2019. This document brings together everything we know or can assume about the timetable, including estimates of when the Great Repeal Bill will go through its various stages in Parliament, when consultations will take place, and when secondary legislation will be laid before Parliament. This is important to know - if organisations do not know what to expect, they may miss an opportunity to scrutinise and respond to, or simply plan for, proposed changes. This will further weaken the legislative process - civil servants drafting the legislation will not receive…
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Three possible dates for an early General Election: 8 May, 22 and 29 June???

Political analysis, Westminster
I went down a bit of a rabbit hole this week. Want to join me? It started with a rather enjoyable blog by John Rowland - ‘After NICS: are we heading for another General Election?’. At first, I just wanted to know if it would be feasible to call an early General Election and how the Government could go about it. I concluded it was possible, if messy. This time, I wanted to know if it was practical in terms of delivering Brexit - an early General Election could deliver a strong majority but it could also mean the loss of up to two months working time for both Government and Parliament. Is this manageable? To form a view I’ve looked at: What we know regarding the current timetable for Brexit,…
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How messy could it get trying to hold an early General Election

All entries
You know you’ve enjoyed an article when it starts sparking ideas, and John Rowland’s consistently excellent blog did just that tonight. In his article – ‘After NICS: are we heading for another General Election?’ – John explores the debate about the logic of Theresa May going to the country to “secure a solid and more biddable majority”. John’s opinion is that “May wouldn’t want the fuss and disruption of an election if she can avoid it”, but a colleague of his has money riding on a 2017 election. Separate of the politics of such a decision, would this be possible? One of the things the Whips Office gave me was a great love of plotting out the sheer practicalities of getting business done. I therefore wanted to provide a bit…
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Do you need to do a little coddiwompling?

Do you need to do a little coddiwompling?

Career development
This week I came across a wonderful gift - a new word. Coddiwomple: to travel purposefully toward an as-yet-unknown destination. It struck me that this is such a beautiful word for the start of a new year. A new year brings so many things, not least the feeling of a fresh start, of energy from the festive break, and a desire to move forward, to progress. But sometimes that in itself can be daunting - what on earth do you do if you don't know your end goal and the destination you are meant to be moving towards? Are you doomed to just mark time until things become clearer? This is at the heart of so many career dilemmas and frustrations. For those of us that do not have a…
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Essential skills and behaviours for public affairs consultants

All entries, Career development
  This self-assessment tool is designed to help you focus on your development; to identify your strengths and where you may be weaker. It's based on seven key areas and the behaviours and skills a consultant, working in an agency environment, would ideally be able to demonstrate. Click on the picture to find out more.  [caption id="attachment_440" align="alignright" width="879"] Assess your strengths and areas for development[/caption]  
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